Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1137.398713 1289.371183 1457.680869 1658.527703 1892.479172 2157.342092 2481.244589
2025-09-21 875.983374 1069.835109 1304.176495 1610.818739 2005.143311 2500.135820 3176.382671
2025-09-28 725.710594 929.646754 1190.571710 1553.502030 2052.580777 2725.655073 3720.891112
2025-10-05 660.819840 881.138053 1176.891684 1610.467852 2242.747077 3151.793543 4596.473709
2025-10-12 601.529326 829.190880 1147.311426 1634.913225 2382.791959 3519.869008 5446.919383
2025-10-19 550.517818 780.986430 1114.459015 1646.016912 2498.837801 3862.718385 6315.043475
2025-10-26 507.806648 739.059424 1084.280687 1654.431840 2607.647202 4205.310047 7242.875519
2025-11-02 480.408168 716.505736 1079.704517 1700.570734 2781.438887 4679.597243 8497.882901
2025-11-09 453.343980 691.255380 1067.359050 1730.906179 2930.186291 5130.463684 9800.674529
2025-11-16 427.647797 665.391053 1050.759190 1750.833372 3061.281459 5567.136228 11167.537299
2025-11-23 404.800471 641.849365 1035.224396 1769.888731 3191.880924 6021.845648 12674.187740
2025-11-30 386.686767 624.428099 1028.053451 1802.545222 3351.978704 6560.967980 14499.882000
2025-12-07 355.685395 582.996434 976.195539 1747.728501 3334.263312 6732.019076 15511.903284
2025-12-14 328.210991 545.628042 928.462766 1695.904215 3316.429037 6901.962351 16572.909286
2025-12-21 302.353410 509.084508 878.998176 1635.089603 3270.833755 7000.477167 17470.609141
2025-12-28 294.919092 505.086269 889.331993 1695.576356 3498.262148 7781.608480 20493.811016
2026-01-04 283.690320 493.150656 883.422507 1721.540268 3651.452822 8410.956513 23274.336504
2026-01-11 271.703760 478.832902 871.562389 1733.334985 3773.116461 8983.587781 26068.894393
2026-01-18 260.348928 464.842157 859.089452 1742.274155 3889.122937 9564.454866 29093.892787
2026-01-25 253.959011 459.939075 864.375110 1791.295690 4112.101836 10488.059891 33667.105476
2026-02-01 246.271727 451.886595 862.454734 1823.533897 4297.241225 11344.445695 38346.276077
2026-02-08 238.041067 442.139684 856.140772 1844.714184 4456.613322 12160.228094 43220.752289
2026-02-15 230.253574 432.733479 849.749593 1864.970145 4616.888063 13016.768095 48660.697040